September 18, 2007
by Robert W. Barker
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Our American Stock markets speak, if one knows how to listen. The stock market tells us of coming events - we need to pay close attention when the market speaks.
Those of us that care about such things realized that someone in power somehow knew something about Sept 11, as put options were placed on the exact airline stocks that were most affected by the terrorist attacks - betting markets to drop in early September 2001.
Billions were made for parties that somehow must have known we were in for trouble - this was not the normal flow of options - this was a huge amount laid out that paid off in billions. Oh for the knowledge of events before they happen - we could all be rich!
The Option sales are being referred to by market investors as "bin Laden trades" due to the predictions that only a problem of the magnitude of 9-11-01 could force short-sell options like these upward. The market told the story in '01 but few knew or listened, and we were caught with our economic pants down.
The Security and Exchange commission never revealed who made these "lucky" trades and no one knows who made out on Sept 11, 01.
put option (securities trading) -- Britannica Online Encyclopedia
Now here in September of 2007 we have the exact same scenario unfolding, and September 21 or before is the target date of the next big fall. These people are gambling that the market will drop 30 to 50% off its current value, and have invested 4.5 billion that it will fail. That is a huge predicted drop, and can only be predicted by insider information on coming events, yet what do they know? These trades have a death day date on these contracts, it is September 21\07. Whatever is looming needs to occur between now and Sept 21, and if it does not happen these speculators lose billions.
$4.5 Billion in Options Call Markts Crash Before Sep 21, 2007
There are 65,000 put contracts at $750.00 for the SPX 700 calls for open interest. Standard and Poors index {SPX} deal primarily with derivatives or price of index and value at set target dates. These inside investors control 6.5 million shares at $750 = $4.5 Billion, this is not just a solitary trade, but quite a bit of money on a contract that is 700 points short of its current value. No serious investor would buy that deep "in the money" risks as too steep, so someone is wildly wagering on a mass dislocation.
A ton of strange options activity are ongoing in August and September, trades and investments that leave those of us that invest in the market very concerned.
There are many looming possibilities on the horizon for catastrophic market falls, each scenario I can envision is strong enough to fulfill these dooms day bets.
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1. China could reduce they're dependency on US dollars, and move to other currencies to hedge against the US Sub Prime mortgage loss and devalue of the dollar. Another Communist resurgence perhaps, to reduce the Capitalist influence and shake the economic pressure they are starting to feel.
2. A large terror attack on US soil, and the market will tank as it did last time on Sept 11,01 and someone made out big time, by being in the know. This time they are betting on some point between now and Sept 21, they seem to intend to shake off the fleas and bring the USA back into the right wing control.
$1.78 Billion is the amount one unknown investor wagered on a Stock Markets crash by third week in September, a huge amount to place on risky speculation or is the risk minimal from insiders views. An anonymous stock investor sells 10K Contracts on all S&P/Y strike, shorts the stocks in the money, this in essence is selling all his SPY holdings for cash up front without pressuring the market downward, and risking questions and reactions; tricky business. If this guy is wrong he stands to lose 700 million, and something tells ole Robert he knows more then we do.
The entity who sold these contracts can only make money if the stock market totally crashes by the third week in September.
Further there is chatter of a looming terror attack Bin Laden has a new tape out and he grew younger on it, as his once white beard is now brown. Dire predictions and warnings of looming doom are everywhere very much like the weeks previous to 9\11, only this time we are aware and on pins and needles.
Jobs dropped off in the latest reporting and the old Sub Prime mortgage thing is like an anchor on our economic asses, even International financial institutions like Barclays in London are showing signs of weakening under the pressure.
More Iranian bombing noise is coming out of the far right as the need to divert the public from the constant scandals is tantamount to their success. Opening up a third front with Iran is not that easy unless the terrorist attack or false flag attacks happen on cue.
This possible coming event will no doubt be used as an excuse for reduction of rights and a more secretive dark shadow government like we got a taste of after the last terrorist attack. More tapped phones more weakening the Constitution more fleecing the public for the good of a select few, and we are almost helpless to stop it.
China is showing some concern over the economic climate and appears to be slowly diminishing the dependence on the dollar, as they know that if they bail out too quick they will start a flow of dumping dollars.
No one knows the future but some do have privileged information that might be a warning to us all, if we heed the market. Let us pray I am wrong and we watch these people lose their money but do not count on that.
Predicting a false flag operations or a real terrorist attack is risky business unless you know the perpetrators or have access to their plans. Can we say treason?
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Robert W. Barker [send him email] is a writer, professional photographer and travel aficionado from Eureka Ca. His work is carried on many web sites around the globe, a first novel recently copyrighted in the library of Congress, is soon to be published.
